BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Boston College 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Boston College 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.45 |
32.19 (+7.74) |
24.44 |
26.31 (+1.86) |
26.31 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
380.45 |
399.37 (+18.92) |
336.33 |
333.45 (-2.89) |
333.45 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.85 |
4.91 (+0.05) |
5.19 |
5.07 (-0.11) |
5.07 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.64 |
28.43 (-1.20) |
27.22 |
27.49 (+0.26) |
27.49 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
383.64 |
404.05 (+20.42) |
406.44 |
409.59 (+3.14) |
409.59 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.92 |
5.96 (+0.04) |
6.10 |
6.22 (+0.12) |
6.22 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-02 |
@Florida State |
23.25 |
17.61 |
-5.64 |
40.86 |
59.05% |
W 28-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Duquesne |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 56-0 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Missouri |
22.70 |
32.04 |
+9.34 |
54.74 |
35.02% |
L 21-27 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-22 |
Michigan State |
28.87 |
20.24 |
-8.63 |
49.11 |
63.84% |
W 23-19 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Western Kentucky |
30.46 |
25.62 |
-4.84 |
56.08 |
57.77% |
W 21-20 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Virginia |
24.96 |
27.80 |
+2.83 |
52.76 |
45.45% |
L 14-24 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-17 |
@Virginia Tech |
19.95 |
33.40 |
+13.46 |
53.35 |
28.41% |
L 21-42 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-25 |
Louisville |
25.38 |
36.41 |
+11.03 |
61.79 |
32.32% |
L 27-31 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-09 |
Syracuse |
32.01 |
33.76 |
+1.75 |
65.77 |
47.20% |
W 37-31 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@SMU |
23.96 |
43.82 |
+19.86 |
67.79 |
18.15% |
L 28-38 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
North Carolina |
32.26 |
36.03 |
+3.77 |
68.30 |
43.95% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Pittsburgh |
25.65 |
30.90 |
+5.24 |
56.55 |
41.59% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
33.02% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
48.78% |
33.02% |
66.98% |
| 7-5 |
18.19% |
81.81% |
18.19% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.16% |
| 2-10 |
1.47% |
| 3-9 |
6.06% |
| 4-8 |
14.45% |
| 5-7 |
22.56% |
| 6-6 |
24.30% |
| 7-5 |
17.97% |
| 8-4 |
9.05% |
| 9-3 |
3.22% |
| 10-2 |
0.68% |
| 11-1 |
0.08% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |