BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Boston College 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Boston College 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.45 |
32.19 (+7.74) |
21.40 |
23.71 (+2.31) |
26.89 (+3.18) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
380.45 |
399.37 (+18.92) |
313.40 |
283.65 (-29.75) |
327.05 (+43.40) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.85 |
4.91 (+0.05) |
5.17 |
4.75 (-0.42) |
4.81 (+0.06) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.64 |
28.43 (-1.20) |
20.60 |
23.75 (+3.15) |
25.50 (+1.76) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
383.64 |
404.05 (+20.42) |
359.00 |
364.90 (+5.90) |
379.58 (+14.68) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.92 |
5.96 (+0.04) |
5.30 |
5.56 (+0.25) |
5.71 (+0.15) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-02 |
@Florida State |
19.43 |
25.06 |
+5.63 |
44.50 |
40.97% |
W 28-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Duquesne |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 56-0 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Missouri |
20.38 |
36.08 |
+15.70 |
56.46 |
24.83% |
L 21-27 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-22 |
Michigan State |
24.88 |
20.43 |
-4.45 |
45.31 |
57.14% |
W 23-19 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Western Kentucky |
34.04 |
24.56 |
-9.48 |
58.60 |
65.21% |
W 21-20 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Virginia |
24.65 |
29.37 |
+4.71 |
54.02 |
42.44% |
L 14-24 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-17 |
@Virginia Tech |
21.70 |
32.68 |
+10.99 |
54.38 |
32.38% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-25 |
Louisville |
18.36 |
33.83 |
+15.46 |
52.19 |
25.20% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Syracuse |
28.08 |
26.59 |
-1.50 |
54.67 |
52.40% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@SMU |
22.05 |
41.63 |
+19.58 |
63.69 |
18.59% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
North Carolina |
33.73 |
37.40 |
+3.67 |
71.13 |
44.11% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Pittsburgh |
26.57 |
28.00 |
+1.43 |
54.57 |
47.71% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
5.75% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
22.02% |
5.75% |
94.25% |
| 6-6 |
33.64% |
27.76% |
72.24% |
| 7-5 |
25.61% |
61.40% |
38.60% |
| 8-4 |
10.64% |
87.01% |
12.99% |
| 9-3 |
2.19% |
97.66% |
2.34% |
| 10-2 |
0.16% |
99.85% |
0.15% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.24% |
| 2-10 |
1.97% |
| 3-9 |
7.41% |
| 4-8 |
16.57% |
| 5-7 |
24.17% |
| 6-6 |
23.49% |
| 7-5 |
15.91% |
| 8-4 |
7.41% |
| 9-3 |
2.32% |
| 10-2 |
0.48% |
| 11-1 |
0.04% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |